Research

State of Ethereum Q1 2026

Written by Aleksander Biesaga, Investment Researcher | Apr 28, 2026 11:31:18 AM

Executive Summary:

Q1 2026 was a somewhat challenging quarter for ether, yet also the quarter in which institutional conviction was most clearly demonstrated. ETH opened the year at $2,967, briefly rallied to $3,356 on January 15, then dropped to a Q1 low of $1,820 on February 6, a 46% drawdown inside six weeks. The quarter closed at $2,024, a −31.8% quarterly return, and ETH entered April trading around $2,320.

Against this backdrop, corporate treasuries doubled down. BitMine Immersion Technologies (NYSE: BMNR) — chaired by Tom Lee and advised by Cathie Wood, Founders Fund and Pantera — expanded its ether position from 4.17 million tokens in early January to 4.98 million by April 19, a 19% increase over the very quarter in which the price fell 32%. Tom Lee publicly labelled ETH "the wartime store of value" as BMNR closed in on its 5% of supply target. BitMine now stakes 3.33 million ETH, generating roughly $221 million of annualised staking income.

The central question has shifted. In Q4 2025 we asked whether Ethereum was sacrificing near-term revenue to win the infrastructure battle. In Q1 2026 the question is sharper: is ETH the underlying collateral of a digital balance sheet being assembled by Tom Lee and his peers, or is it a commodity whose price is still a function of activity it no longer fully captures? The two theses are not mutually exclusive, but one is now visibly larger than the other on a dollar basis.